← Dashboard StockDuty Jul 08, 2026 11:18 AM ET
SignalMacro

CBOE Volatility Index $18.12 ↑ 12.3% 60th %ile (fear) • KXINX 9.5% — 7,500 to 7,525

Kalshi: KXINX 9.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

CBOE Volatility Index $18.12 ↑ 12.3% 60th %ile (fear) • KXINX 9.5% — 7,500 to 7,525 Kalshi: KXINX 9.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT? Percentile: 60th in 90d range | Regime: fear
VIX at 13th percentile signals complacency, but Kalshi market gives only 11.5% probability for S&P 500 range.
Sources
futures